To help us forecast atrocity risk in 2018, please participate in our annual wiki survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method that presents countries head-to-head and simply asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2017.

The Early Warning Project uses a wide range of data to identify countries at risk of new mass atrocities. The statistical component of our model focuses solely on cases of state-led violence, meaning a government acting against its own people. The country rankings are not designed to pinpoint threats from one country against another.

For more information, click here.