Which Countries Are Most Likely to See New Mass Killing in 2018?

To help us forecast atrocity risk in 2018, please participate in our annual wiki survey, an innovative opinion aggregation method that presents countries head-to-head and simply asks respondents to choose which is more likely to experience a new mass killing in the new year. The survey will run for one month, until December 31, 2017.

The Early Warning Project uses a wide range of data to identify countries at risk of new mass atrocities. The statistical component of our model focuses solely on cases of state-led violence, meaning a government acting against its own people. The country rankings are not designed to pinpoint threats from one country against another.

For more information, click here.