2016 Results of the Early Warning Project
After a decade of decline, civilian mass killings at the hands of government forces are once again on the rise. Sudan, Yemen, Burma, Nigeria, and Afghanistan are the five governments most likely to commit mass killing against their own people, according to a new assessment from the Early Warning Project. For the third year in a row, Sudan and Burma rank among the countries most at risk.
The Early Warning Project, a collaboration of the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum and Dartmouth College, uses publicly available data to rank the likelihood of state-led mass killings. It seeks to save lives by helping policymakers, activists and affected communities understand and prioritize where to direct limited prevention resources to prevent new mass atrocities. Because mass killings are rare—fewer than two new cases occur each year on average—even the highest risk countries have less than a one-in-ten chance of having a new onset, according to our analysis.
Learn more about the top countries at risk, countries with growing risks, and other notable threats. To read the full results, go to the Early Warning Project.