GAAMAC Events

Relative Risks of Mass Killing Onset in 2018: Results from a Wiki Survey

12 Jun 2018

The Early Warning Project, a cooperation between the Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide and the Dickey Center for International Understanding, ran a wiki survey in December 2017 to poll opinions on countries' relative risks of mass killing onsets. The survey asked respondents the following question: "Which country is more likely to see a new episode of mass killing in 2018?" Respondents were then asked to choose between one of two possible answers, as many times as they wished.

The survey found the following ten countries to be at highest risk of new onset of mass killings in 2018: 

  1. South Sudan
  2. Democratic Republic of the Congo (Kinshasa)
  3. Myanmar/Burma
  4. Yemen
  5. Central African Republic
  6. Syria
  7. Afghanistan
  8. Somalia
  9. Sudan
  10. Iraq
  11. Burundi
  12. Nigeria
  13. Pakistan
  14. Mali
  15. Egypt
  16. Libya
  17. Zimbabwe
  18. Chad
  19. Niger
  20. Republic of the Congo (Brazzaville)

This was the fifth time such a wiki survey was carried out, which complements the Project's statistical risk assessments and public opinion pool.